Let your math speak
The Puck Hogs’ resident mathematician did a quick statistical analysis based on regular season stats so far this season. Basically, he compared the average goals scored per player on each team in Silver B in the regular season.
Try and keep up with his analysis here…
If you take the number of players that have scored goals on each team and divided it by the total number of goals scored by that team, you come up with the following data. Keep in mind, the closer that this number is to 1.0 for a team, the more spread out the scoring is:
These teams have 2 or fewer goals, and can be considered outliers, so we’ll exclude them from this analysis -
Pirates 1.0
SMB 1.0
Spitfires 1.0
Roughriders (0 goals)
Now it gets interesting -
Misfits 0.750
Pints 0.714
NorCal A 0.667
Puck Hogs 0.636
Flying Wizards 0.400
Ice Dawgs 0.385
Now let’s assume, each team has one dominant offensive contributor and take out that player’s stats from each team. Two weeks in, it looks like this -
Misfits 1.0
NorCal A 1.0
Pints 0.8
Puck Hogs 0.75
Ice Dawgs 0.67
Flying Wizards 0.45
Taking out the Ice Dawgs’ top scorer dramatically increases their average goals per player. In other words, this one player scores a lot of goals for that team, but the average goes up because other people still contribute.
At the bottom of the list is the Flying Wizards, who despite all of their scoring this season (they’ve scored 15 goals in two games) still have the lowest goals per player. They go from near bottom to bottom of the list when you take out the top scorer from each team.
What does this indicate? There are only a select few players on that team who score and when you look at the scoresheets, you’ll see that only five out of 14 players on their team have ever scored a goal this season. Clearly, considering how much they’ve outscored their opponents thus far, the Flying Wizards offense is based on a select few very talented individuals (let’s call them, I don’t know, “ringers”) who have no trouble getting lots of goals in Silver B while the bulk of that team – the non-scoring passengers - reap the rewards while contributing less than any other team in the league.
Singh10.
This entry was posted on May 21, 2009 at 2:34 pm and is filed under Monday Musings, Silver B League with tags Flying Wizards, goals per player, Ice Dawgs, Misfits, NorCal Crossover A, Pints, Pirates, Puck Hogs, Silver B League, SMB, Spitfires, statistics, Summer 2009. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
May 23, 2009 at 8:43 pm
What happens to the numbers if you take out the Girls and Defensemen?
May 24, 2009 at 8:30 am
“Steve Smith”,
It’s hard to differentiate who the defensemen are, and this is further confounded by players who play either defense or forward in a season or even within a game. Position assignments are very dynamic, so it’s simpler just to include all players.
The girls in our league are hockey players and they count.
May 29, 2009 at 3:29 pm
Yea for reals. Other than saying girls count…I have no idea what you said. Just kidding…sort of. Hahaha, it’s the end of the day on a Friday, I can’t be expected to process stats.
June 2, 2009 at 3:53 pm
I’m curious to know what this analysis looks like now, a few more games in.
June 7, 2009 at 2:58 pm
The data looks even more interesting when you do a nonlinear transformation, such as a log or negative reciprocal transformation. I would also suggest an analysis of standard deviation. Professor Jones could easily do these.
June 14, 2009 at 12:25 pm
Ha Ha. Nice job “Doug”.
June 10, 2009 at 10:38 am
A few more games in and the trend is pretty much the same. Some teams are carried by their top talent, others are more a group effort.